Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 0.003494 0.003669 0.003847 0.004043 0.004254 0.004472 0.004717
2025-03-16 0.003171 0.003428 0.003702 0.004016 0.004368 0.004751 0.005202
2025-03-23 0.002938 0.003238 0.003567 0.003955 0.004403 0.004907 0.005521
2025-03-30 0.002762 0.003091 0.003459 0.003903 0.004428 0.005035 0.005796
2025-04-06 0.002648 0.003003 0.003407 0.003904 0.004506 0.005218 0.006135
2025-04-13 0.002479 0.002839 0.003255 0.003775 0.004415 0.005188 0.006205
2025-04-20 0.002400 0.002777 0.003218 0.003780 0.004483 0.005349 0.006514
2025-04-27 0.002357 0.002755 0.003227 0.003837 0.004615 0.005592 0.006939
2025-05-04 0.002272 0.002676 0.003162 0.003798 0.004621 0.005672 0.007149
2025-05-11 0.002201 0.002613 0.003112 0.003774 0.004643 0.005770 0.007385
2025-05-18 0.002134 0.002551 0.003062 0.003746 0.004657 0.005856 0.007607
2025-05-25 0.002109 0.002541 0.003076 0.003801 0.004781 0.006094 0.008050
2025-06-01 0.002056 0.002493 0.003040 0.003790 0.004817 0.006215 0.008336
2025-06-08 0.001999 0.002439 0.002995 0.003764 0.004831 0.006303 0.008577
2025-06-15 0.001934 0.002372 0.002929 0.003708 0.004799 0.006324 0.008718
2025-06-22 0.001875 0.002312 0.002872 0.003660 0.004777 0.006356 0.008874
2025-06-29 0.001840 0.002281 0.002851 0.003661 0.004823 0.006489 0.009191
2025-07-06 0.001760 0.002189 0.002746 0.003543 0.004692 0.006354 0.009079
2025-07-13 0.001730 0.002163 0.002730 0.003547 0.004739 0.006486 0.009399
2025-07-20 0.001720 0.002163 0.002747 0.003600 0.004858 0.006731 0.009917
2025-07-27 0.001678 0.002119 0.002704 0.003564 0.004844 0.006770 0.010093
2025-08-03 0.001643 0.002084 0.002672 0.003542 0.004849 0.006839 0.010321
2025-08-10 0.001609 0.002048 0.002638 0.003517 0.004848 0.006897 0.010534